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Football Gameplan’s 2014 NFL Week 8 Preview – San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos

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Football Gameplan’s 2015 NFL Midseason Mock Draft

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Football Gameplan’s 2014 College Football Week 9 Preview – Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers

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Football Gameplan’s 1st & Forever – Cowboys Need to Win Now

Cowboys Need to Win Now

Gene Clemons, FBGP Analyst
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Dallas Cowboys running back Demarco Murray is having a career season. The Cowboys are benefitting from his performance this season as they have rode his back to a 6-1 record and first place in the NFC East. He has taken the pressure off of quarterback Tony Romo to make every play and as a result, their offensive balance and ball control has been phenomenal. Many look at this year as a reason for optimism that the Dallas Cowboys may not only make it to the playoffs, but win the Super Bowl.

Well if the Cowboys want to win the Super Bowl, their window is not just closing, its size is clearly defined. There’s no way that the Cowboys can put the toothpaste back in the tube with Murray’s carries. He is definitely going to surpass 400 carries this season. Murray is currently on pace to double his season high for carries (217). He’s not only running to help the Cowboys win but to prove he can be a durable back and he deserves a contract worthy of a top back in the league.

Unfortunately for Murray and the Cowboys, running backs don’t fair well the year after leading the league in carries. Murray is on pace to run onto the top ten list all time in single season carries. The 11 current leaders on the all time single season carries list production dramatically decreased in the first or second season following that season. This means that most likely a running back that has had injury issues throughout college, and the pros, will break down under the strain of such a heavy work load next season.

The top two all time single season carries leaders are Larry Johnson and Jamal Anderson. Johnson’s record setting 2006 season had 419 carries and he was the bell cow that led the Kansas City Chiefs to the playoffs but they didn’t finish the job. The next season, Johnson carried the ball only 158 times and his career derailed afterwards. After Anderson carries the ball 410 times in 1998, he was injured and only managed 19 carries in 1999. The fact that Murray is on pace to top 420 carries does not give one confidence in his production in 2015 and going forward.

The best thing for Murray and the Cowboys is to ride him until the wheels fall off because they have no chance at a title without his production. In fact, if the Cowboys don’t win the Super Bowl this season they will not win one for the foreseeable future.

It remains to be seen if the Cowboys offensive line is really that good or if their production is a result of a healthy Murray. Everyone wants to believe that running back is a plug and play position, but it clearly is not. The evidence is all around the league where you see teams that are not very effective at running the football. There’s no guarantee that another running back can come in and do what Murray is able to do; which means that if he is not healthy next season they will regress.

The Cowboys defense will definitely regress next season if Murray is not able to carry the load. The defense’s effectiveness has been in large part because of the offense’s ability to control the time of possession. If the Cowboys go back to relying on Romo to pass the ball, that means that the defense will be on the field more often, which will result in their flaws being exposed. Murray is the best defensive player for the Cowboys and when he’s gone the defense will take a hit.

Ultimately the Cowboys would be silly to give Murray an extension based on his history before this season. After they run him into the ground, it would be almost unheard of to extend him based on history. If Dallas could re-sign Murray for less guaranteed money, then that would be ideal. It would give them a contract that doesn’t penalize them when Murray gets hurt in the future.

For Murray, he should be thinking about his legacy in Dallas. As the CEO of Murray Inc., he must be concerned with his future earnings in the state of Texas outside of the arena. If he were to deliver a Super Bowl in Jerry World, he would set himself up to be revered for the rest of his life. That type of earning potential will take him further than any contract that he will sign going forward.

Everything hinges on this year because this current success does not look sustainable.

The Cowboys window is not closing; it’s closed after this season.

Questions? Comments?

Tweet: @geneclemons

Email: gclemons@footballgameplan.com

Football Gameplan’s Campus Kickoff – A College Football Compromise

A College Football Compromise

Gene Clemons, FBGP Analyst
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There has been a long debate about whether or not college football student-athletes should be paid. Football is only one of two (men’s basketball) major revenue generating sports in college athletics. The debate was heated last season when for Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel was accused of taking money to sign memorabilia. This season, the discussion seems even more explosive as Georgia running back Todd Gurley and reigning Heisman Trophy winner, Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston deal with similar issues as Manziel.

It’s illegal to make money off of your image or likeness according to the NCAA, which seems ridiculous because they essentially are saying its okay for us to profit off your name but you can’t do the same. This type of hypocrisy angers some but others feel it is a fair exchange. NCAA student-athletes receive scholarships that cover their tuition, room, and board. They are also afforded the opportunity to travel around and have all expenses paid for. Many of those same people believe that the only reason a large majority of these athletes are in institutions of higher education is because of athletics and those student-athletes could care less about the student part. They feel as if these young men are squandering a free education.

Both points are valid and in an effort to never provide criticism without solution, there is a way that both sides can be appeased. It’s a fair exchange that the NFL should be on board with as well. After all, student-athletes are the one’s that drive jersey sales and are promoted on media guides and posters. They are the ones who are sacrificing their bodies for their school so they should be given some slice of an extremely large pie. But, there is no excuse for a player to spend four, five, and even six years in school and not receive at least one degree; that’s just wasteful.

The Compromise!

College players should have the option to profit off their image and likeness. But if they do, they have to get a college degree before they can declare for the NFL. The last four starting quarterbacks for Florida State all received their degrees and it seemed as if Winston wanted to do the same, but all of this trivial stuff surrounding him may force him to move on and forgo the two years of eligibility he has remaining. He has been a revitalizing force in Tallahassee and he should be able to live out his college career while profiting from the millions that FSU is making because of him.

If a player chooses not to profit off their image or likeness, they can declare for the NFL after two seasons instead of three. This is especially effective for those players who are simply in college to play professionally because football, has no farm system and they want to get out as soon as possible. Jadeveon Clowney wasted a year of his NFL career protecting himself against injury because of the three years removed from high school rules. It was clear Clowney didn’t want to be in college so why force him to?

A student-athlete will have the right at any time during his collegiate career to opt into the career student-athlete track which would make him eligible to receive compensation for his likeness. When Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott arrived in college he had to fight for his position and once he took it, he established himself as one of the best signal callers in the SEC. As a result, the Bulldogs have experienced unprecedented success so why should he not be allowed to make money when his value is the highest. Many evaluators don’t believe he is an NFL caliber quarterback so college is his only true opportunity to cash in on his talent. He is a guy who is likely to stay and receive his degree so the school wins, the player wins, and everybody is happy.

There are so many football players that love the college experience and it gives them their final years of sophomoric freedom before they have to live in an adult world and make mature decisions. It’s a shame when a young man is forced to accelerate this process based solely on financial concerns. This would bridge that gap while supplying them with something far more valuable than money: an education.

College football would produce more mature and level-headed graduates to populate professional football and private industries, which would in turn, be better for their products.

Greed and selfishness is at the heart of the issues with the NCAA; it’s very similar to the AAU in the Steve Prefontaine days. We all know what happened to the AAU and how track and field continues to thrive today. The NCAA better wake up to this reality before it is overthrown for a better system.

Question? Comments?

Tweet: @geneclemons

Email: gclemons@footballgameplan.com

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Football Gameplan’s 2014 College Football D2 Wraparound – Week 8

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Football Gameplan’s 2014 NFL Week 7 Preview – New York Jets vs New England Patriots

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