NFL NEWS

FBGP’s 1st and Forever – Black Monday has Nothing on This

Black Monday Has Nothing On This!

Gene Clemons, FBGP Analyst
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At the end of the NFL season they have a day that is dreadfully known as “Black Monday!” This is the day that coaches normally get fired. You will sit around and hear people mourn or celebrate depending on their perspective, but at the end of the day, only a handful of coaches are without employment and they are sitting on guaranteed contracts while they seek out their next employer. Amazingly, many feel bad about these coaches firing even though most of them will have another job coaching before the end of the week.

Well, there is another period of time in the NFL that most fans don’t care about. It’s a time that most who follow the NFL just gloss over as ‘part of the business’ but what business can you name, fires 42% of their workforce…yearly? Yes that’s 42% and yes that’s YEARLY!

It’s NFL roster cut time or as it should be known as, “The Dream Killer!”

The Tuesday following the third preseason game teams must reduce their roster from 90 to 75 and a week later they whittle that number to 53. That means in a week’s time, 1,184 players will be told that they need to look for other employment. 320 of the fired players will find work on the practice squads of an NFL team but the remaining 864 players will most likely be filling out employment applications, working out, and hoping for a call, because of course players don’t have guaranteed contracts and therefore, no parachute when they are told that their services are no longer needed.

Many think that the journey isn’t over but simply on hold. They will train hard and take another shot next season. There’s only one problem with that theory, more competition. Every year the NFL welcomes 224 new players via the NFL draft and approximately another 750 undrafted free agents. So now, the 864 players trying to get another shot at their dream job, will be joined by another 900-plus players with the exact same dream.

The NFL has earned its “Not For Long” acronym. The average career of a player in the league is 3.3 years while coaches can coach until they die. Coaches can keep trying, studying, and getting better because our capacity to learn doesn’t decrease with time as long as our desire to do so stays strong. However, each year that passes for a player they are being joined by another person just like them, only younger and more athletic.

It’s almost laughable when TV personalities are singing the sob stories of coaches uprooting their families (which many rarely do). They also make sure to mention that the assistant coach doesn’t make as much as the head coach and that’s true. The six-figure salaries of assistant coaches are much less than the seven-figure salaries of their bosses but they are still not in the poor house.

Football players have more and more options available these days if they are willing to travel. The CFL is still the next best option for guys who still want to play, but there are professional American football leagues that have sprung up all over the world in the past 10-15 years. The advantage of coaching is that opportunities are available here in the US. Coaches can coach in college or at some high schools that pay a substantial amount of money to their football coach. Football coaches have a network and their fraternity can lend a hand to a fellow coach looking for a soft landing when they are let go. It doesn’t matter how many other players in the NFL a potential player knows, they can’t help each other get a roster spot because they don’t make personnel decisions.

It’s never good to see anyone lose his or her job, and it’s okay to feel bad for a coach who gets the pink slip but when kept in perspective, it’s not the end of the road. For many of the players who are cut on Tuesday and beyond, they will have to come to grips with the reality of their situation. At 22 (or somewhere around there), the dream they’ve worked diligently to achieve is over and now they must find a new purpose for their life, a new goal to chase, and a new dream.

Black Monday…HA!

Questions? Comments?

Twitter: @geneclemons

Email: gclemons@footballgameplan.com

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FBGP’s 1st and Forever – Luck vs Newton

Luck vs Newton

Gene Clemons, FBGP Analyst
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Quarterback is the undisputed premiere position in the National Football League. Quarterbacks “move the needle” and if your team is without what is considered a franchise quarterback, then you have little to no chance for success. When considering the type of quarterback necessary for success in the NFL, many looked at Peyton Manning as the prototype. While Manning has established himself as one of the most effective quarterbacks ever, it has not equated to multiple championships.

Today’s NFL is bigger, faster, stronger, and more intelligent. With more complex and athletic defenses, the need for a quarterback with the ability to escape the pocket and break tackles has put a new value on quarterbacks with athletic skills. Ask most of the mainstream NFL analyst who the new prototype QB is and they will, without hesitation, say Andrew Luck. Luck is considered to be Peyton Manning with athleticism. He has the intelligence (Stanford educated) to perform mentally and the athleticism to be a weapon when he decides to pull the ball down.

The reality is while many drool over Luck and his talents they dismiss the real new prototype quarterback as gimmick.

Like Luck, Cam Newton was the number one overall pick. He was chosen the season before Luck declared but many believe that if Luck would have put his name in the hat he would have been chosen over Newton. Besides, many believed Blaine Gabbert was a better quarterback prospect than Newton anyway (take a moment to process that).

Newton has everything that you want in a quarterback and yet, some would lead you to believe that Luck is the gold standard for the new breed of quarterbacks. While Luck has posted great numbers in his first two seasons, many would not believe that they were not greater than Newton’s numbers in his first two seasons.

When comparing their first two seasons, Luck compiled slightly more passing yards (8,196 to Cam’s 7,920) and touchdown passes (46 to 40) while throwing less interceptions (27 to 29). Newton’s completion percentage is higher (58.8% to Luck’s 57%), he’s been sacked less (71 to 73), and he’s fumbled less (15 to 16). All of these numbers come out as a wash. If you were to take the stats, put them in a bag and shake them up, you never be able to decipher the Luck stats from Newton’s numbers.

So why do people speak about Luck as if he has arrived and about Newton as if he still has something to prove? Where is the separation? It must be wins. Not only is the NFC a more superior conference, the NFC South is a tough division. The AFC south is considered by many to be the worse division in the NFL; so do we really want to use win/loss record as a barometer?

So where’s the separation? It’s in their running ability. While their passing stats don’t give a clear definition of greatest, the rushing stats separate the two and pushes Newton far ahead of Luck. Newton’s rushing yards doubles up Luck’s (1,447 yds to 632 yds) and his rushing touchdowns are nearly two and a half times as many as Luck’s (22 to 9), his longest rush is 72 yards, which is 43 yards longer than any Luck run in the NFL, and his yards per carry is still higher than Luck’s (5.7 to 5.1).

So, why do people speak about Luck as if he has arrived and about Newton as if he still has something to prove?

Is it because Luck says “gee” and “shucks”, while Newton shows pride in what he accomplished? Is it because Newton is a media poster child and Luck seems to run from the spotlight? Luck wears his hat forward; Newton turns his hat to the back. Luck went to a top academic school and Cam went to an SEC school. Luck runs to the sideline after touchdowns and Newton does his Superman celebration after touchdowns. Luck is Midwest and Newton is Hollywood. Luck is scruffy with a beard and Newton is clean cut with a bright smile. Luck is country music and Cam is hip hop! The management identifies with Luck while the workers identify with Newton.

None of those things actually have a bearing on the way they play but it definitely makes people think of the two differently.

Maybe you should ask yourself. Do I really have it right if the stats don’t support the argument?

Questions? Comments?

Twitter: @geneclemons

Email: gclemons@footballgameplan.com

FBGP’s 1st & Forever – Preseason Receiver Races Still Comes Down to an Arms Race

Preseason Receiver Races Still Comes Down to an Arms Race

Gene Clemons, FBGP Analyst
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Everybody knows that the NFL means ‘not for long’ and that is definitely true for a wide

(Left) Greg Carr, (Right) Larry Brackins, Wide Receivers, Orlando Predators

receiver. While viewing the Arena Football League’s Eastern Conference Championship, you could watch two NFL caliber receivers playing for the Orlando Predators in Greg Carr and Larry Brackins. It’s very likely that the reason they are not on an NFL roster has nothing to do with their abilities, but more with the person charged with getting them the ball.

If you are an NFL receiver trying to make a team, there are two absolutes if you want to stick on a squad; the first is playing time, the second, and maybe even more important, is an accurate quarterback. It does not matter how technically proficient you are at the position, your ability to stretch the field means nothing. You can have the best hands in the business but if the quarterback throwing you the ball does not have the ability to get you the ball, you will never show enough to make a team.

Blaine Gabbert, Quarterback, San Francisco 49ers

In the 49ers/Ravens preseason game this past Thursday Anquan Boldin played sparingly while Michael Crabtree and Brandon Lloyd were given the night off. For a receiver hoping to make the team, this first preseason game could have served as their best opportunity to show what they could do ‘in-game’. San Francisco is known primarily as a run-first team, which means not as many opportunities for hopeful pass catchers. Colin Kaepernick only attempted one pass before he turned the offense over to the backup quarterbacks.

This is when who’s throwing you the ball really matters. Former Jacksonville Jaguars flame out, Blaine Gabbert, was looking to take his first step in career rehabilitation and unfortunately continued to play like he did when he was with the Jaguars. By the time he was finished for the day, Gabbert only completed three of 11 passes for 20 yards. He was also sacked one time. That means there were nine lost opportunities for receivers to impress coaches and fans. Josh Johnson replaced Gabbert and completed six of eight attempts for 63 yards and one sack which meant, when he entered the game, he was able to double the completions and triple the yardage of Gabbert.

Kellen Moore, Quarterback, Detroit Lions

While most viewers watched Johnny Manziel look spectacularly ordinary, the other side featured a far more compelling quarterback competition. The Detroit Lions Dan Orlovsky and Kellen Moore were battling to backup Matt Stafford. It’s a competition that I’m sure their receivers should be over. Orlovsky was wildly inconsistent completing only 12 of 23 attempts for less than 100 yards. When Moore came in, he immediately reminded you why he was so successful at Boise State. He was poised and in command which allowed him to complete 11 of 13 passes for 121 yards and a touchdown. That means Orlovsky completed only one more pass on 10 extra attempts.

Receiver is the only position in the NFL that is predicated on how well another person plays. The best receivers in the league will put up pedestrian numbers when they have pedestrian quarterbacks throwing to them. So when you are looking at your team’s receiver competition pay close attention to the person throwing them the ball. It will make all of the difference.

Questions? Comments”

Email: gclemons@footballgameplan.com

Twitter: @geneclemons

 

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