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Football Gameplan’s 2015 NFL Season Preview: Detroit Lions

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Reason for Optimism

Detroit made the playoffs last year in spite of an ‘iffy’ offensive line.  Their OL is vastly improved and they’ve added weapons in the backfield to help make the offense more dangerous.  The 2nd and 3rd levels defensively are also very strong.

Cause for Concern

Losing both Ndamukong Suh, Nick Fairley, and CJ Mosely will hurt any defense.  Yes they bring in future hall of famer, Haloti Ngata but how much can one do by himself?  If the younger players around him don’t step up, their run defense — which was 2nd in the league last year — could be a detriment to team success.

The Road to the Super Bowl for the Detroit Lions

1. Running Game Comes Alive – There’s excitement in the backfield this year with Ameer Abdullah.  He’s a game breaker and with the revamped OL, the Lions ground game could be excellent.

2. Defensive Line Doesn’t Miss a Beat – The defensive line did an excellent job helping out the backers and secondary last season.  If it can be addition by subtraction with that unit, then their defense will once again be very strong.

3. Play Well From Start to Finish – This means from the start of the season to the end; from the start of a game to the end; it also means from the start of a quarter to the end of the quarter; If the Lions are going anywhere far this season, they’ll need to shake off the stinky smell of inconsistency.

FBGP’s 2016 NFL Draft Prospect Preview: QB Cody Kessler, USC

Turron Davenport, FBGP Analyst

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The quarterback position is one that always garners the most attention in the college ranks. That being said, it’s very interesting that a lot of attention was not being paid to USC quarterback Cody Kessler last year. The 2015 season will be a very successful one for Kessler and his numerous weapons on offense. Kessler is an impressive player that can make all of the throws. He will only continue to benefit from playing in his second year for head coach Steve Sarkisian.
Playing in Sarkisian’s offense gives Kessler the chance showcase his throwing ability by making touch throws down the field and strikes to the deep in breaking routes. Having big time playmakers like JuJu Smith and Adoree Jackson allows Kessler to show the timing that is required to get the ball to his receivers in stride, allowing them to get chunks of yards after the catch. Kessler is really good at fitting the ball into tight spots.
Here is an example of how Kessler hits his receivers in stride:

Kessler steps up in the pocket and throws a dart to his receiver running the slant route. The pass has the right zip on it and hits the receiver right along the waistline which allows him to catch the ball in stride and not lose any speed in the process.

The throw results in an extra ten yards gained after the catch but there where many times when a money throw like that results in the receiver taking it to the house.

This clip shows Kessler making a tremendous throw to Adoree Jackson for a touchdown. Notice how he placed the ball perfectly in between two defenders. Things tend to tighten up in the red zone which makes the windows to throw into much smaller. Kessler steps into the throw perfectly and delivers the ball to his receiver.

Playing quarterback requires a lot of guts and poise. Here you see Kessler make a perfect throw to his tight end despite the pressure bearing down on him. The oncoming defender had no effect on him. The ball placement is perfect. This is a testament to how accurate of a passer Kessler can be at times.

There are times when he needs to trust what he sees and make the throw. This play is an example of that. The receiver was open as soon as he crossed the hash marks. Kessler should have made the throw right before he broke to the inside. That would give the receiver a chance to catch the ball and get up field. Instead, he leads the receiver to the other safety and throws the ball high. Fortunately, the receiver is able to avoid the big hit.

Kessler is a quarterback that can develop into a solid NFL prospect. He is primed for a big season this year. USC is a team on the rise now that they don’t have any sanctions placed upon them any longer.

He is a potential Heisman candidate this year. He will put up huge numbers but if he wants to ascend to the top of the quarterback rankings, he will need to keep making the types of throws that we showed earlier. He will also need to improve his play on the road as well as against top competition. The spotlight will be on Kessler and USC. The question is, can he handle it?

FBGP’s 2015 NFL Season Preview: Chicago Bears

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Reason for Optimism

There’s still a ton of talent offensively for the Bears which leads you to believe that they’ll be able to once again put up points.  New Head Coach John Fox comes over and he’s a great defensive mind who’ll be tasked with improving the Bears defense that has a good bit of talent to work with.

Cause for Concern

You wonder if the move to the 3-4 will take some getting used to.  Now whether it’s 2 weeks or 2 months is the question.  In the NFC North, the Bears can’t afford a slow start.

The Road to the Super Bowl for the Chicago Bears

1. Jay Cutler Protects the Ball – Cutler has the ability to rack up a ton of yards and touchdowns, but also turnovers.  If he cuts those in half and play better situationally, Chicago will be tough to stop on offense.

2. Defense Makes Smooth 3-4 Transition – There’s definitely pieces there to be successful.  More than enough actually.  How quickly guys not just grasp, but embrace new roles and responsibilities will be key.

3. Matt Forte – Forte is an elite running back that’s a foundation piece.  As long as Forte is on the field, healthy and doing Forte-like things for a full season, they’ll win a lot of games.

It’s Bigger Than a Position Switch

Gene Clemons, FBGP Analyst
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When the news first broke that Braxton Miller was planning on a position switch from quarterback to wide receiver, the initial reaction was troubling. Remember, this is not just a run-of-the-mill quarterback hopelessly clinging to a job he should have lost, this is the 2-time Offensive Player of the Year in the Big Ten. A young man who led his team to an undefeated season and was regarded as the most dynamic quarterback in college football.

The news of the switch was met with the amount fanfare that would of lead you to believe Braxton Miller was destined for the Pro Football Hall of Fame as a wide receiver; but the comments that followed were far less encouraging. Statements like, “he has a chance to be an NFL player now,” “he has made himself into a mid-to-late round draft pick,” and he has a “greater chance for success” by playing a position he has never played in his life and at the absolute highest level were prevalent.

It was tempting to run off a 700-to-1000 words article bashing the industry, the NFL, and every Tom, Dick and Harry with a pen, twitter account, and opinion for thinking that a guy who spent his life dedicated to learning the quarterback position and performing at that position at the highest level, should now abandon that for a “chance” at the NFL. It is as if the NFL isn’t full of guys who are not truly equipped to be NFL quarterbacks. Why should Miller not be afforded the opportunity to fight for a spot and fail if that’s his fate like every other below mediocre signal caller still carving out impressive careers as a clipboard holder? Why is it so urgent for a guy who has had nothing but success as a quarterback to move to another position?

Now one can only speculate, but when Braxton Miller dreamed of being in the NFL, he didn’t dream of catching passes from Brett Favre or Michael Vick.  He dreamed of being Brett Favre or Michael Vick. He’s been doing a magnificent job of making that dream come true. But now, without ever seeing him play the position, a bunch of guys, many more concern about numbers that only really matter in fantasy football, have decided that he’s better equipped to play wide receiver.

Needless to say, I was infuriated and I thought about expounding on the imbalance of black quarterbacks being told to switch positions and trust me that’s coming later. I wanted to engage in confabulation with young black quarterbacks and give them some words of wisdom about how to beat a system that I clearly believe has two sets of standards.

Then I thought, wait, this is on Braxton isn’t it?

There are two narratives to this story: either Miller can no longer throw; which if that’s the case and his shoulder is that bad, he should give the game up, or more disturbing, he was never prepared to go down with his ship.

The quarterback position is the only one in football that takes years upon years of skill development just to function. It’s a position that requires a doctoral-level of expertise to excel in the NFL. That type of dedication should never be thrown away for the “opportunity” to “try” another position in the NFL. One should use those years of perseverance to strive for what they want, or die trying.

Does Miller not want to do it the hard way? Was he not willing to compete with the other quarterbacks on the Ohio State roster? Could he be afraid to make 32 NFL teams say no to him seven times in the NFL Draft? Does he not want to call their bluff? Was he not willing to sign as an undrafted free agent, be on a practice squad and work his way onto a roster? Did he not want to be told no and go to the CFL, the Arena League, or even the FXFL to prove his worth? Is he a man who has persevered through tough times, and been willing to grind in moments of adversity, suddenly not willing to do it again?

Is this question of dedication to their craft the difference between black quarterbacks and their white contemporaries? One is compelled to say no out of sheer hope. The notion that black quarterbacks are whimsical and flaky about playing the position, the belief that they only care about making money and not how it’s made, is as unfathomable as the country being run by Donald Trump.

So then why Braxton? If he can no longer throw, he should just come out and say it because that would kill the entire debate and force his believers, even if it’s the right to fail, to latch onto another narrative.

This is an opportunity for Braxton Miller to stand up and be counted on far beyond the football field. He has a chance to inspire all those young black quarterbacks that are being called “ATH” or athlete on their recruiting profile. He can inspire young black quarterbacks to refuse to line up at wide receiver, defensive back, or running back. He can be the beacon that guides them towards a full on commitment to a position that needs that type of decision to be successful.

He can do it. He has done it. Why is he not doing it?

Questions? Comments?

Tweet: @geneclemons

Email: gclemons@footballgameplan.com

FBGP’s 2015 NFL Season Preview – Pittsburgh Steelers

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Reason for Optimism

Pittsburgh has a really strong offense that’s able to attack every quadrant of the field.  Defensively they’ll be better as some young guys started to play well toward season’s end and they get some players back healthy.  There’s a lot to be optimistic about in the Steel City.

Cause for Concern

If the main problem that stopped them last year, not a lot of sacks/pressure and not creating turnovers, rears it’s ugly head again, it’ll be shootout city each week.  They have to get better in those areas, otherwise it’s an early playoff exit.

The Road to the Super Bowl for the Pittsburgh Steelers

1. Blitzburgh Returns – The front seven will be key in order for the Steelers to have any chance of getting to the big game.  The talent is in place, but will they get back to their effective pressuring ways is the question.

2. Offense Continues to Grow – This was a dynamic offense last season and I believe there’s still room for it to get better.  If they get a 3rd receiver involved or 2nd tight end, that way they won’t have to use Bell as much in the passing game OR utilize him the same and have that extra option still become very effective.  The offense is in good shape moving forward.

3. Every Game is Important – The Steelers have to be able to finish ball games.  With the division being the way it is, they can’t afford any “bad” losses because you can find yourself with 10 victories and still miss the playoffs.

FBGP’s 2015 NFL Season Preview: Cleveland Browns

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Reason for Optimism

The Browns went 7-9 last year with a very good defense, sound running game and mediocre (putting it lightly) passing game.  This year their defense is better, running game is stronger and offensive line is deeper.  So if they can just get stable play from the QB position, they’ll be staring a playoff berth in the face.

Cause for Concern

If the QB play of 2014 returns this season, then they’ll find themselves in the exact spot they were a year ago.  They also lack a true ‘threat’ at wide receiver without Josh Gordon this year and that’s a big time blow.

The Road to the Super Bowl for the Cleveland Browns

1. QB Play is Efficient – You don’t need your QB to be Otto Graham, you just can’t have them be what they were last year in Cleveland.  In my honest opinion, going with Josh McCown is similar to going with Brian Hoyer.  McCown didn’t have success with Tampa Bay last season (who finished with the 1st overall pick), so why would you expect the 35 year old QB to magically change?

2. Kicking Game Steps Up – This could be a potential albatross for the Browns if they’re not settle on a dependable guy.  Points add up and they need to be stellar in 2/3 facets of a ball game.

3. Run Defense Improves – The Browns aggressively went out to fix a bad run defense and they’ve added a ton of talent within the front seven, and they need those additions to pay dividends this year.

FBGP’s 2016 NFL Draft Prospect Preview: RB Devontae Booker, Utah

2016 NFL Draft Prospect Preview: RB Devontae Booker, Utah Utes

Turron Davenport, FBGP Analyst
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Many say that the running back position is becoming devalued in the NFL. That may be the case to an extent but the same can’t be said for college football. A running back being on the Heisman Trophy watch list has become an annual occurrence. One of the backs that are on the watch list this year is University of Utah running back Devontae Booker. He has drawn comparisons to Marshawn Lynch and has been referred to as “Baby Beast Mode.” The question is, are those comparisons accurate?

Booker has the ability to break tackles and can gain yards with a sharp cut back. He is a tough runner that is hard to bring down. While Booker is pretty adept at running between the tackles, he is not as good of a runner when it comes to running outside the tackles.

Here is an example of a where there is room for improvement for Booker:

The play is designed to get Booker outside. The first thing that he has to do is beat the defensive end to the outside where the receivers are blocking for him. The defensive end is left unblocked as it’s an expectation for Booker to be able to get past him. Booker has the defensive end beat but hesitates slightly which allows the linebacker to track him down. Booker has to trust his speed to get outside rather than hesitate. The split second cost him here.

This play shows Booker at his best. He sees that the inside running lanes are stuffed. He instinctively cuts it back where there is space to run. Booker is a strong running back that will run through arm tackles. A weak attempt by the defensive back results in a broken tackle by Booker on his way to the end zone.

It takes an elite back to be worthy of a Heisman trophy mention. One of the traits of a top notch back is the ability to make a defender miss. Here you see Booker run outside with no hesitation and he beats the outside contain of the defense. The safety (#38) comes down to make the tackle and Booker doesn’t give him any kind of move to make him miss. This tackle by the safety can be used in a coach’s tackling video. If Booker makes him miss, there is a strong possibility that he scores the touchdown. This is what makes the difference between a short gain and a long touchdown run, making a defender miss.

 

There is no doubt that Booker is a tough runner. He definitely breaks his share of tackles. This is one of those runs that led to some of the Marshawn Lynch comparisons. He jumps into the hole and breaks three tackles.


Booker rushed for over 1,500 yards last year. His coaching staff has not hesitated to say that they could envision him rushing for 2,000 yards this year. Booker will get a very high amount of carries and produce a lot of what we call volume yards. In order for him to rush for that many yards, it will be important for him to develop a better ability to turn long runs into touchdown runs. There were quite a few runs in which he got tracked down from behind. It will be interesting seeing if he could finish more runs in the same fashion as he did below against Washington State.

Questions? Comments?

Tweet: @TDavenport_NFL

Email: turron@footballgameplan.com